Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 3.029753 3.498267 4.011872 4.616248 5.307545 6.073158 6.984985
2025-02-09 2.365242 2.975241 3.699523 4.621246 5.761388 7.123808 8.873846
2025-02-16 1.897804 2.574707 3.436858 4.611808 6.167482 8.152524 10.873427
2025-02-23 1.506418 2.189311 3.116255 4.460076 6.351372 8.910270 12.626204
2025-03-02 1.192338 1.846090 2.786800 4.229769 6.376410 9.438700 14.122843
2025-03-09 1.014807 1.664270 2.649548 4.239867 6.726565 10.445978 16.404960
2025-03-16 0.847001 1.466308 2.453595 4.124845 6.862085 11.139888 18.293054
2025-03-23 0.779117 1.416175 2.478020 4.353758 7.555619 12.758543 21.794832
2025-03-30 0.705984 1.343971 2.453137 4.492847 8.112589 14.213394 25.191100
2025-04-06 0.624286 1.242546 2.361806 4.500874 8.440388 15.314958 28.107811
2025-04-13 0.523723 1.089380 2.155180 4.270829 8.311756 15.607344 29.636740
2025-04-20 0.484384 1.048319 2.149698 4.411486 8.874289 17.179225 33.621948
2025-04-27 0.463214 1.042931 2.216267 4.708377 9.786327 19.522523 39.360109
2025-05-04 0.423625 0.992632 2.186438 4.809318 10.328710 21.231917 44.092125
2025-05-11 0.384033 0.935806 2.134920 4.858012 10.770942 22.795172 48.714857
2025-05-18 0.335595 0.850698 2.010446 4.732941 10.833075 23.602075 51.898035
2025-05-25 0.286996 0.756661 1.851927 4.508925 10.649815 23.875822 53.991534
2025-06-01 0.261240 0.714111 1.804840 4.531665 11.015023 25.346102 58.794335
2025-06-08 0.230317 0.653079 1.705060 4.416101 11.048377 26.096092 62.097603
2025-06-15 0.222911 0.652692 1.753078 4.664977 11.967600 28.915812 70.344161
2025-06-22 0.210802 0.637478 1.761628 4.816377 12.669574 31.311962 77.866158
2025-06-29 0.193172 0.603737 1.717455 4.826637 13.023491 32.932037 83.734645
2025-07-06 0.166733 0.539723 1.583376 4.581569 12.699199 32.897606 85.628391